I'm not sure what your point is in comparing the 1918 spanish flu... The vaccination programmes for decades since make this pointless.chipmunx wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 9:06 amthe most common strains of flu maybe - but every now and again their is a stronger strain with similar effects to this. like the 1918 "Spanish Flu" which led to 550,000 deaths in the US alone.Sefton Aubergine wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:56 am A few facts for some of the medical "experts"... Comparing this virus to flu is idiotic. The death rates from the most common strains of flu are between 1.25 and 2.5 of 1 percent. The death rates from this virus at the moment is 3 percent making it 15 times more likely to kill.
People suffering from this virus will need isolated high dependency care. The estimated best and worst case scenarios for the numbers needing such care is 10,000 to 300,000. Nationally there are approximately 4,500 ITU beds but with a 20% shortage of skilled ITU staff and it is these developing numbers that the government will be advised to act upon. The self isolation, crowd bans, or eventual lock down programmes, that are becoming increasingly likely, will all be to avoid the demand on high dependency care being needed all at once.
The estimated peak for this virus is mid to the end of April depending on the decisions made at this next COBRA meeting but the medical advice being urged to the government is that much stronger action is needed sooner.
My opinion is that, depending on the size of the cap on crowd gatherings the Wrexham game could be our last home game with a crowd for a while.
This virus needs to be treated individually and it's demand on high dependency treatment, the spaces for such treatment and the lack of staff to deliver the treatment.
